MAY 4, 2021 CAP ALLON
As reported yesterday, the majority of European nations shivered through their coldest April in decades, in more than century for some — and now looking at the latest mid-range models, more of the same is forecast for May.
Low solar activity is prolonging winter, it is cooling the planet (via a meridional jet stream flow, an influx of Cosmic Rays & volcanic eruptions, among many other forcings: see links at the bottom of the page) — this is delaying planting, and making life all-round miserable for growers across large portions of the Northern Hemisphere.
The year 2021, in my mind at least, will go down as “The Year Without A Spring,” because as we head into the second week of May, latest GFS run shows no signs of a warm-up across Europe (nor in America for that matter). And although there will be the odd pocket of anomalous warmth here and there, these are all-too fleeting.
This is a serious situation for farmers across the hemisphere, farmers that have already been hit with delayed planting and slow germination following the historically cold April just gone.
Below is the GFS 2m Temperature Anomaly forecasts from May 4 to May 7:
May 4, 2021
May 5, 2021
May 6, 2021
May 7, 2021
As you can see, there are limited signs of a warm-up.
Worse still, the models then see an intensification of the cold beginning May 10, which by May 13 will have walloped central and western nations with temperature anomalies as much as 20C below the seasonal norm. It is not out of the question that country’s such as France –the 5th largest grain producer on the planet– registers record mid-may frosts:
May 13, 2021
May 14, 2021
Perhaps even more astonishingly, heavy May snow is forecast over the next few days for nations such as the UK!
Even Germany, France, and Spain are set for mid-“spring” flurries.
While Scandinavia and the Alps look set for something of a burial:
GFS Total Snowfall (cm) May 4 to May 14 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Weather has always been fickle; but now, predicting patterns is getting harder and harder as low solar activity continues to revert the jet streams from their usual ‘zonal’ flow to more of a weak and wavy ‘meridional’ one:
There WILL be a warm-up at some point. Because as easy as it is for this wavy jet stream phenomenon to drag cold air down from the Arctic, it can just as easily pull hot air up from Africa (in the case of Europe); however, when the shift does finally arrive, it will likely be too late for many of the harvests, and then in turn, anomalous heat will bring its own set of problems (not least the incessant EOTW bleating from AGW proponents).
Global cooling is firmly establishing itself, due to the natural mechanisms linked below. Now let’s watch those power-hungry-politician and pop-scientists squirm as real-world observations blow their controlling narrative apart.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
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