MARCH 15, 2023 CAP ALLON
MINOR CME SPARKS GEOMAGNETIC STORM
A nothingburger coronal mass ejection (CME) just hit Earth’s magnetic field (March 15 at 04:15 UT), yet it sparked a geomagnetic storm.
Currently, a G1 storm is in process, however, conditions favor the development of even stronger G2-class storms in the hours ahead. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras, so says Dr Tony Phillips of spaceweathernews.com.
As discussed many times before, Earth’s ever-waning magnetosphere –likely occurring inline with a magnetic pole shift and perhaps low solar activity (as well as other poorly understood forcings)– is resulting in even minor impacts having a larger than usual affect.
Our planet’s magnetic field strength is weakening, down some ≈20% from the 1800s.
This waning is due to two key factors: 1) low solar activity, and 2) our planet’s migrating magnetic poles.
As Earth loses its dipole magnetic shape –due to the shifting of its magnetic poles– the overall field strength weakens and its protective shield against potentially harmful space energy is reduced. This means every enhancement of the solar wind, every crossing of the Sun’s current sheet, and every CME has a larger and larger impact than it ordinarily would, both directly on the upper atmosphere, and also indirectly through the ionosphere’s equator-traveling waves that come from the aurora.
The weakening is accelerating.
In the year 2000, we knew the field had lost 10% of its strength since the 1800s, another 5% was lost by 2010, further accelerations occurred in 2015 and 2017 but we laymen were not privy to any additional loss data–with guesses on why that might be quickly sending you down a rabbit hole.
Migrating magnetic poles indicate that another ‘flip’ aka ‘reversal’ or ‘excursion’ may be on the cards, and ‘soon’.
Such an event would bring apocalyptic shifts in the geography and climate, it would seem like the ‘end of times’. Proxy records reveal regular upheavals in ancient past, the most notable being the ‘Laschamp excursion’ of approx. 42,000 years ago, although research suggests that these reversals/excursions actually occur on a much shorter periodicity, of 6,000 years — and we’re due.
FARSIDE SUNSPOTS
Earlier this week, Earth dodged a bullet:
The source of this truly monstrous farside CME, the one that if it had been Earth-directed would have sent us back to the stone age, is revealed by helioseismic maps (shown below) — the culprit was one of two large active regions on the farside of the sun:
Both regions will rotate around to the Earthside of the sun next week, bringing them into our planet’s “strike zone.”
Stay tuned — a long duration X9+ flare will bring about the effective ‘end of days’, particularly given our planet’s weak magnetic field and also our modern, cotton-balled civilizations complete and utter dependence on the electrical grid.
YET ANOTHER ARCTIC OUTBREAK INBOUND FOR NORTH AMERICA
It is beyond a joke now. It was, for a short while, somewhat amusing to throw Western America’s brutal winter in the faces of those mind-controlled, virtue signalling narcissists that are AGW Party members, but with winter now extending into spring, delaying the planting, things aren’t anywhere close to funny.
Even after all that’s come before, below is what the North American continent STILL has in store over the next week-or-so.
That is, more Baltic cold…
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) March 16 to March 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].
GFS Total Snowfall (inches) March 15 to March 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Next is a glimpse at the following week, i.e. the onset of astronomical spring, which takes us to April:
Continue to rug up America, winter isn’t done with you yet.
On a side note: Similarly cold conditions are persisting across the Iberian Peninsula, and all. For me in Portugal, I am unwilling to put my corn in the ground with overnight lows continuing to dip to around 4C (39F), and there is no real let-up forecast for the remainder of March, at least. I’m waiting for temperatures to hold above 10C (50F). To anyone with experience in this, am I correct to wait?
DR KOLB: “SEVERE U.S. WINTER FUELED BY HUNGA TONGA VOLCANIC ERUPTION”
So, the Western United States is experiencing a truly severe winter, breaking a multitude of records that include extreme cold and deep snowpack — an event Peter Kolb, PhD Forest Ecologist Adjunct Professor, says was amplified by the record-high mesospheric eruption of Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai back on Jan 15, 2022.
“Well, everybody has noticed, of course that we have a record, severe winter with record snowpack,” began Dr Kolb in a recent interview with KGVO.
“Definitely, the snowpack exceeds what was here in the winter of 1996-1997 [solar minimum of cycle 22]. We’ve had three separate spells of subzero weather with 10 below zero. We set a record cold again up in Evaro and a lot of places in western Montana. So why does this occur? And as a forest ecologist, of course, I’m interested in trees and how they grow and forest communities, but what affects forests communities, of course, is the weather.”
Dr Kolb has been studying the Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai for some time, particularly its effects on Earth’s atmosphere.
He points to that Jan 15 record-high ejection of particulates, “the highest in the atmosphere of any volcano in history.”
“Not only that, it blew something like a trillion tons of water into the upper atmosphere … increasing the water vapor in the Stratosphere by 10%. We talk about greenhouse gases increasing by one or two one-hundredths of a percent causing global climate change, and here we had a volcano that increased the water content of the stratosphere by 10%.”
Dr Kolb says he has been mystified about the lack of coverage the Hunga Tonga volcano and its impacts have garnered from both the global scientific community and mainstream media alike.
“So when the Tonga volcano blew and through all this water into the atmosphere, I go ‘Holy smokes, you know, all the literature everything I’ve read about atmospheric modeling and atmospheric gases. Why isn’t everybody jumping up and down going, oh my god, you know, this is huge’?” he asked. “There’s this massive vapor cloud, especially over the southern hemisphere that has reflected an enormous amount of solar energy right back out to space and it hasn’t come back to the earth.”
Dr Kolb ties the long cold winter suffered across much of North America to Hunga’s mega-eruption, also pointing to the forecast cool and wet spring to come. His views can also be extrapolated to the explain the cool winter, spring and summer to hit Australia, and also the extreme Baltic conditions experienced across Asia this season, particularly in Siberia and Western Asia.
“We reached a super low period in solar output, and then you have this vapor cloud put on top of it,” said Dr Kolb. “So that has created a prolonged La Nina effect. Less solar energy, more moisture coming in here, and also we’ve had now two or three years of super cold Pacific Decadal Oscillation. So the prediction for the spring and summer is cool and wet. So it’s all these things coming together with the volcano, the solar output and the interactions with the atmosphere.”
Dr Kolb provides the following graphics which reveal the stark southern hemisphere cooling in the upper atmosphere…
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