WINTER ARRIVES EARLY IN NEW ZEALAND
Temperatures across New Zealand have plummeted this week, and heavy May snowfall has clipped both island’s, dropping the snowline to below 400m (1,300ft).
Ski resorts near Queenstown received as much as half a meter (20 inches) on Wednesday alone.
Coronet Peak Top Station Webcam [Queenstown Webcam]
Kepler Track Fjordland National Park [Queenstown Webcam].
Club spokesperson Rob Needs could hardly believe it.
“There’s a lot of excitement,” he said.
“It’s insane. It’s so early. It’s certainly not what we’re used to.”
We’re moving into El Niño—the legacy media has proclaimed it be so–and while this ENSO pattern spells “catastrophic hotty-heat-hot” for great swathes of the planet, what the MSM routinely fails to mention is not everywhere warms; large regions, conversely, cool — New Zealand being one.
NIWA meteorologist –and firm AGW Party member– Chris Brandolino is expecting this winter to bring more cold snaps to NZ.
The ENSO pattern is “in neutral” but as the El Niño takes hold it will likely see colder south-westerly winds dominate, he said; winds that are usually tied to drier conditions — so the opposite effect of La Niña which recently delivered NZ its wettest summer on record.
“That climate driver (La Nina) which was helping to produce those events no longer exists … It wouldn’t be surprising to see kind of a drier lean as we work our way through the winter season.”
The cold has certainly arrived, but there’s no sign of those drier conditions, not yet anyway…
RECORD COLD CONTINUES TO SWEEP AUSTRALIA
‘Frosty temperatures have already sent shivers across Australia, sending warning signs for an especially cold winter.’
This is opening line of a recent 9news.com.au article, which, against official government forecasts, is expecting state low temperature records to fall this coming cold season–even the all-time national low of -23C (-9.4F) set at Charlotte’s Pass in 1994.
Across Eastern Australia, a myriad of locale’s have already logged their lowest-ever May temperatures–and early in the month, too, making the feat even more impressive. These records include, but are not limited to Cooma, Omeo, Bombala, and Canberra; while Sydney, with its 7.1C (44.8F) last Sunday, set its coldest temperature this early into autumn for 85 years, since 1938.
Eastern Australia’s early-season snow has also been noteworthy, with the first flurries of the year already hitting the likes of Brown Mountain, Nimmitabel and Perisher Valley — to name just three.
The West hasn’t escaped the chill, far from it.
The Perth metro area dipped to an anomalously-low 5.4C (41.7F) overnight Thursday, forcing many to grab their coats and rug up, reports perthnow.com.au.
While looking ahead, the rest of the month is forecast to bring much of the same, and for ALL of Australia:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) May 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Saying all that, you AGW proponents can remain safely within your cardcastles, for your pals, the Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology has your back. The government agency is comfortingly prophesying a “drier and warmer than average winter”.
However, confidence in this forecast may waver a little when looking at past results:
The BoM confidently called for a hot autumn of 2023, but reality continues to deliver a record-cold season; they stated that last summer would be a stifling one, but it turned out to be unusually chilly; while the winter of 2022 was predicted to be “far warmer than average”, but it turned out to be historically-frosty with sprawling metropolises such as Brisbane enduring their coldest winter’s in recorded history — and ALL of this despite 1) the BoM’s ignoring of the well-established UHI-effect, and 2) their overhaul of the country’s weather stations, replacing all mercury thermometers with new ‘0.7C warmer’ electronic probes…
COLD CZECH REPUBLIC
Just a quick word on Europe…
Along with the likes of Poland, Slovenia, Slovakia, Serbia, Croatia, Moldova –to name just six– April 2023 in the Czech Republic was colder than the multidecadal norm, finishing with an average temperature of 6.4C (-2.1C below the norm):
Looking ahead, Europe’s chill –particularly in Eastern parts– (and Alpine snow) looks set to persist well into May.
I also see a big cool-down on the cards for the Iberian Peninsula (my neck of the woods), as well as some much needed rains.
WARMING MUST = COOLING
The establishment is at it again, trying desperately to keep global warming relevant on an ever-cooling planet.
During catastrophic global warming, “the strangest thing to wrap our heads around is the apparent paradox of colder winters,” reads a recent paint-by-numbers scienceabc.com article.
“Surprisingly,” the article’s author Megha Mogarka continues, alongside supposedly rising global temperatures, “we have also seen harsher winters … In fact, places where it never snows have been regularly receiving snowfall…”
Mogarka goes on to rehash the long-debunked claim that global warming is disrupting the polar vortex, causing the jet stream to weaken and in turn sink polar air masses anomalously-far south, particularly during the winter months.
I mean, she’s half there: the jet stream is weakening, which is resulting in additional polar outbreaks entering the lower latitudes, but it’s a setup attributable to the historic low solar activity we’re been experiencing, not humanity’s CO2 excretions.
The establishment is once again guilty of reverse engineering their findings, of trying to fit their precious predetermined theory with wildly contradictory real-world observations. “Winters are getting colder, it must be global warming.” This is not how science is supposed to work, but then again, this isn’t science at work here, of course, this is a warped, politically motivated agenda.
Digging deeper than even Mogarka can be bothered to, The Narrative states that “because the Earth’s polar regions are warming more quickly than the rest of the world, the temperature contrast that drives jet streams has decreased (making for weaker streams)”. ‘Polar Amplification’ is the theory, but for it to work BOTH poles need to be warming, which isn’t proving the case.
Official data reveals that East Antarctica, which covers two thirds of the continent, has cooled 2.8C over the past 40-or-so years, with West Antarctica cooling 1.6C. Climate alarmists love long-term trends, and to them forty years is regarded as a long-enough time-frame from which to draw significant climatic conclusions. But the evaluation of the past four decades can result in only one summation: that Antarctica is cooling in conjuction with a weakening of the southern jet streams.
To spell it out: this reality blows apart that mainstream ‘AGW-driven polar vortex’ explain-away.
Moreover, Antarctic’s cooling has actually been intensifying in recent years alongside a further-weakening of the southern jets.
The South Pole suffered its coldest-ever ‘coreless winter’ in 2021 (April-Sept), and has posted anomalously cold months ever since. These include Nov 2022’s -40.4C (-40.7F)–coldest since 1987; Dec 2022’s -29.1C (-20.4F)–coldest since 2006; Jan 2023’s -31.3C (-24.3F)–coldest since 1995; Feb 2023’s -41.1C (-42F)–which is -0.7C below the norm. And with an overall reading of -35.6C/-32.1F, this made it the second coldest Nov – Feb on record (after 1999-2000’s -36.6C/-33.9F)).
And more recently still, in March 2023, both Vostok and the Antarctic station posted what are believed to be their coldest temperatures ever recorded this early into a season (-65.2C/-85.4F) and -68.1C/-90.6F, respectively).
To spell it out again: the South Pole is undoubtedly COOLING yet the southern jet stream is simultaneously WEAKENING, sending exceptionally cold polar air masses unusually-far north and into the likes of Australia and South America.
To conclude, the establishment’s explain-away theory that warming poles are to blame for a weak and wavy jet stream flow, and in turn the correlated violent swings between extremes in the weather (labelled a ‘climate crisis’ by the legacy media), is patently false. The establishment however, via its MSM lapdogs such as Megha Mogarka, continue to push their own conclusion…
Bitterly cold winters were not always the recurring phenomenon they are today, so writes Mogarka, “but now, we experience a record-breaking summer of heat every year and a consequent record-breaking winter of cold as well. It has become a recurring phenomenon in recent years, and shows no sign of slacking off. How strange,” she concludes, “that a phenomenon associated with increasing temperatures is also responsible for the coldest temps as well!”
How strange indeed, Mogarka — ‘implausible’, even…
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